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« ETF Update: Tech Stocks Take the Lead | Main | The Little Book of Sideways Markets: A Profitable Read »

January 16, 2011


Chris Tinker

If I agree I hope that doesn't mean that you DON'T learn?
I tend to look at markets in a similar way to you and hence we often come to very similar opinions and processes. What struck me here most was your points about investors needing to control risk whilst still participating. My risk measures are a function of price action in relation to value so I can see where risk at an individual level is - and - by extension - where it is at a sector or market level. If you look at Citi, for example, the value in the stock is still rising - suggesting that it is an investable stock - but the risk premium you were paying to value was higher than at any time since October 2009 - so it was a risk accident waiting to happen (value is at 4.38 now, so rising support from there will give you a chance to reenter the stock relatvielty soon.) This kind of awareness of stock level risk is what is needed to be able to stay invested. Apple, incidentally is already an opportunity on this same basis. To control risk it is important to be able to quantify it at least - that is the directino that research needs to go I suspect.
anyway - a good read as ever



Ken -- What can we learn if all of our discussions are with those with whom we agree? I spend a lot of my time reading articles from those with a wide range of viewpoints. I embrace disagreement, and always try to follow where the data lead.

Thanks for the kind words, and for taking the time to comment!



I don't always agree with you, but I'm glad I found your blog. Always useful.

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