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« More Overreaction in Energy Stocks | Main | Yield Curve -- an Indicator, not a Cause »

December 27, 2005

Comments

Barry Ritholtz

Like so many things in the Markets (and Life), an inversion is more complex than a 30 second tv snippet allows for.

Yield curve inversions have invariably led to economic wobbles and slowdowns; More severe inversions (duration and depth) have led to recessions.

So far, we have seen only a mild and shallow inversion. That's a warning; If it deepens and continues, it will have more ominous implications

This is the best explanation I;ve read to date:
http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2005/12/explaining_yile.html

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